Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.002762 0.002960 0.003174 0.003424 0.003711 0.004031 0.004420
2024-10-06 0.002520 0.002797 0.003117 0.003519 0.004019 0.004636 0.005479
2024-10-13 0.002293 0.002608 0.002986 0.003487 0.004154 0.005045 0.006399
2024-10-20 0.002075 0.002396 0.002794 0.003341 0.004103 0.005186 0.006976
2024-10-27 0.001958 0.002294 0.002723 0.003333 0.004227 0.005583 0.008062
2024-11-03 0.001780 0.002099 0.002511 0.003107 0.004000 0.005397 0.008084
2024-11-10 0.001723 0.002056 0.002496 0.003152 0.004177 0.005886 0.009544
2024-11-17 0.001683 0.002031 0.002501 0.003224 0.004403 0.006509 0.011621
2024-11-24 0.001617 0.001966 0.002445 0.003195 0.004458 0.006829 0.013186
2024-12-01 0.001592 0.001954 0.002462 0.003280 0.004719 0.007623 0.016788
2024-12-08 0.001541 0.001904 0.002418 0.003264 0.004794 0.008045 0.019696
2024-12-15 0.001478 0.001833 0.002341 0.003183 0.004737 0.008149 0.021515
2024-12-22 0.001456 0.001823 0.002357 0.003270 0.005032 0.009264 0.031054
2024-12-29 0.001434 0.001811 0.002371 0.003355 0.005350 0.010629 0.050651
2025-01-05 0.001387 0.001762 0.002323 0.003326 0.005417 0.011308 0.072989
2025-01-12 0.001322 0.001682 0.002222 0.003191 0.005229 0.011075 0.079486
2025-01-19 0.001289 0.001647 0.002191 0.003184 0.005333 0.011929 0.142289
2025-01-26 0.001216 0.001551 0.002057 0.002975 0.004938 0.010792 0.101135
2025-02-02 0.001198 0.001537 0.002057 0.003016 0.005143 0.012053 0.289304
2025-02-09 0.001186 0.001532 0.002069 0.003082 0.005425 0.013882 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001158 0.001500 0.002035 0.003056 0.005465 0.014673 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001150 0.001500 0.002053 0.003135 0.005802 0.017407 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001126 0.001473 0.002027 0.003119 0.005877 0.018761 NaN